Stade Payerne vs Lancy: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Payerne
The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stade Payerne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Payerne vs Lancy?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Stade Payerne (1,641) and Lancy (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Payerne have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lancy have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Martigny Sports(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sion II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Terre Sainte(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stade Payerne win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lancy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lancy 2-2 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stade Payerne 0-0 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Stade Payerne 1-3 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Lancy 0-3 Stade Payerne | Erste Liga Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Lancy 2-1 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 18, 2024 | Stade Payerne 1-0 Lancy | 2. Liga Interregional - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lancy vs Stade Payerne on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Payerne score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lancy score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Payerne | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lancy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Payerne sit 5th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (4 points from 3 matches) and Lancy sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stade Payerne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Lancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Payerne vs Lancy?
- The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stade Payerne.
- Where and when is Stade Payerne vs Lancy played?
- Stade Payerne vs Lancy is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.