Stade Payerne vs Monthey: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Payerne
The Footlab model makes Monthey the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Stade Payerne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Payerne vs Monthey?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stade Payerne (1,643) and Monthey (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Payerne have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Monthey have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Martigny Sports(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(home) | 3-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stade Payerne win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Monthey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Stade Payerne 2-1 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Monthey 2-0 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Stade Payerne 1-0 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Monthey 3-2 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Payerne vs Monthey on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Payerne score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Monthey score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Payerne | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Monthey | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Payerne sit 5th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (4 points from 3 matches) and Monthey sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stade Payerne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Monthey | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Payerne vs Monthey?
- The Footlab model makes Monthey the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Stade Payerne.
- Where and when is Stade Payerne vs Monthey played?
- Stade Payerne vs Monthey is played on May 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.