Stadeln vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Stadeln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stadeln vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Stadeln (1,681) and Ingolstadt II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stadeln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stadeln win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ingolstadt II 4-4 Stadeln | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Stadeln 0-0 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 3-0 Stadeln | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Stadeln on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stadeln | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stadeln sit 15th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (35 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
| 15 | Stadeln | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 65 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stadeln vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Stadeln.
- Where and when is Stadeln vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Stadeln vs Ingolstadt II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.