Ingolstadt II vs Gebenbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Gebenbach?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Ingolstadt II (1,774) and Gebenbach (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gebenbach have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ingolstadt II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gebenbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gebenbach 3-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ingolstadt II 2-3 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gebenbach 0-0 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gebenbach 0-6 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 5-2 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Ingolstadt II 1-1 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Gebenbach vs Ingolstadt II on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ingolstadt II sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (48 points from 32 matches) and Gebenbach sit 4th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Gebenbach?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Gebenbach played?
- Ingolstadt II vs Gebenbach is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026DJK BambergvsBayern Hof
- Nov 13, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsStadeln
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht BambergvsFortuna Regensburg
- Nov 14, 2026GroßbardorfvsASV Neumarkt
- Nov 14, 2026Würzburger FVvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Nov 14, 2026NordlingenvsJahn Regensburg II
- Nov 14, 2026AmmerthalvsKornburg
- Nov 14, 2026ChamvsWeiden