Match

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola

Stal Stalowa WolaPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).

Stal Stalowa Wola win47 %
Draw25 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Stalowa Wola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)4-0II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)1-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-3Cup
Jul 31, 2026Tychy 71(home)1-2II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East
Aug 17, 2025Podhale Nowy Targ 1-1 Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East
May 7, 2023Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Stal Stalowa WolaIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 2, 2022Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Apr 2, 2022Podhale Nowy Targ 0-0 Stal Stalowa WolaIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 28, 2021Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Stalowa Wola1.61.267/158/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Stal Stalowa Wola5203876
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Stalowa Wola and Podhale Nowy Targ

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