Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| May 7, 2023 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsŚwit Skolwin
- Mar 27, 2027Tychy 71vsZnicz Pruszków
- Mar 27, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsGórnik Łęczna
- Mar 27, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsAvia Świdnik
- Mar 27, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Mar 27, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsHutnik Kraków
- Mar 27, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsResovia Rzeszów
- Mar 27, 2027Sokół KleczewvsOlimpia Grudziądz