Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| May 7, 2023 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsSokół Kleczew
- Sep 12, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsLegia Warszawa II
- Sep 12, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Sep 12, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Sep 12, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsTychy 71
- Sep 12, 2026Świt SkolwinvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Sep 12, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsRekord Bielsko-Biała