Staphorst vs Hoogeveen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Hoogeveen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Staphorst wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs Hoogeveen?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Staphorst (1,672) and Hoogeveen (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs Hoogeveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Hoogeveen
4-3-2-1- 9S. Egbers
- 10E. Bijlsma
- 8Menno Heerkes
- 12Tom Heerkes
- 14Jim Veltmaat
- 19Joey Roufs
- 21G. Klok
- 4L. van Dijk
- 24Alagie Jabbie
- 2Bjorn Klaassens
- 1Nick Borgman
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hoogeveen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Staphorst wins, 0 draws, 2 Hoogeveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hoogeveen 2-1 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Staphorst 3-1 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
| May 11, 2024 | Hoogeveen 1-3 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Staphorst 5-1 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Hoogeveen 3-0 Staphorst | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Hoogeveen vs Staphorst on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hoogeveen score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Hoogeveen | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 14th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Hoogeveen sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Staphorst vs Hoogeveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs Hoogeveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Hoogeveen.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs Hoogeveen played?
- Staphorst vs Hoogeveen is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.