Staphorst vs Dovo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dovo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Staphorst wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs Dovo?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Staphorst (1,672) and Dovo (1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs Dovo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Dovo
4-3-3- 15Kelly Joao
- 8Theo Visser
- 11N. Hak
- 10M. van Nispen
- 22M. den Boer
- 5T. Pluk
- 18V. Wormgoor
- 3S. Oonincx
- 35Nick de Bondt
- 6Guido van Rijn
- 16Niels Daalhuizen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Dovo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 1-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Staphorst win, 2 draws, 3 Dovo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dovo 2-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Staphorst 1-3 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dovo 0-1 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Staphorst 0-2 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Dovo 3-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Staphorst 0-0 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dovo score 1.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Dovo | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 14th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Dovo sit 15th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Staphorst vs Dovo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs Dovo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dovo.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs Dovo played?
- Staphorst vs Dovo is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.