Stará Ľubovňa vs Kežmarok: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 24Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadión MFK Goral Stará Ľubovňa, Stará Ľubovňa
The Footlab model makes Stará Ľubovňa the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stará Ľubovňa vs Kežmarok?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stará Ľubovňa (1,542) and Kežmarok (1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stará Ľubovňa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kežmarok have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizán Bardejov(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 15, 2026 | Malženice(home) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| May 8, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 1-5 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Stará Ľubovňa score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stará Ľubovňa | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stará Ľubovňa vs Kežmarok?
- The Footlab model makes Stará Ľubovňa the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Stará Ľubovňa vs Kežmarok played?
- Stará Ľubovňa vs Kežmarok is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión MFK Goral Stará Ľubovňa, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.