Stenhousemuir vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Stenhousemuir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Stenhousemuir (1,756) and Livingston (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stenhousemuir
4-3-3- 15D. Carrick
- 36L. Lloyd
- 9M. Aitken
- 17M. Anderson
- 20G. Stevenson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 5S. Young
- 28C. Penman
- 1D. Jamieson
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 25B. Anderson
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 39L. Polworth
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 5R. McGowan
- 22J. Doherty
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Livingston have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stenhousemuir win, 1 draw, 4 Livingston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 0-3 Livingston | Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livingston 0-1 Stenhousemuir | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 0-0 Livingston | League Cup |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Stenhousemuir 1-3 Livingston | FA Cup |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Stenhousemuir 0-4 Livingston | League Cup |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Stenhousemuir 0-1 Livingston | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston on Oct 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stenhousemuir score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Livingston | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenhousemuir sit 4th in Championship (23 points from 13 matches) and Livingston sit 5th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
A question about Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Stenhousemuir.
- Where and when is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston played?
- Stenhousemuir vs Livingston is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.