Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Stevenage starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
3-4-1-2- 9J. Magennis
- 18O. Sanderson
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 14S. Earley
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 1T. Setford
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stevenage wins, 2 draws, 0 AFC Wimbledon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stevenage 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Dec 26, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Sep 2, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 5, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Stevenage 2-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Feb 28, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 12th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.