Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnsley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,811) and AFC Wimbledon (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Barnsley win, 2 draws, 1 AFC Wimbledon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Barnsley 3-3 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barnsley | League One |
| Jan 19, 2019 | AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Barnsley 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 19th in League One (8 points from 8 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 12th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.