Stevenage vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 3Kick-off on July 19, 2022 at 06:30 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Stevenage vs Derby?
Stevenage won 1-0 on July 19, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 31′E. ListStevenage
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2022 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | West Brom(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Jersey Bulls(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2022 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Bradford(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 7, 2022 | Cardiff(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Blackpool(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Bristol City(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Stevenage vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy