Stevenage vs Wycombe: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wycombe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Wycombe?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,836) and Wycombe (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wycombe have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Reading(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stevenage win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wycombe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe 1-2 Stevenage | League Cup |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Wycombe 3-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe | League One |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wycombe 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe | League One |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wycombe score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Wycombe | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 19th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Wycombe sit 16th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wycombe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Wycombe?
- The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wycombe.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Wycombe played?
- Stevenage vs Wycombe is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.