Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Stirling University. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,371).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling University have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Stirling University win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Stirling University 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 Stirling University | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Stirling University 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-1 Stirling University | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Stirling University 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling University score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling University | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stirling University sit 33rd in Football League - Lowland League (0 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 33 | Stirling University | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Stirling University.
- Where and when is Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
- Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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