Stjarnan vs Ilves: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Samsung völlurinn, Garðabær
Full time
What was the result of Stjarnan vs Ilves?
Stjarnan won 1-0 on July 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 84′G. NökkvasonStjarnan
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ilves win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Stjarnan vs Ilves
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Stjarnan
4-3-3- 7Ö. Eggertsson
- 22E. Atlason
- 11B. Ingason
- 8J. Gunnarsson
- 18G. Nökkvason
- 23B. Warén
- 4Þ. Þórisson
- 3G. Kjeldsen
- 6S. Ingimarsson
- 32Ö. Örvarsson
- 12Á. Ólafsson
Ilves
4-3-3- 28J. Kilo
- 9T. Hytönen
- 13K. Wallius
- 14A. Popovitch
- 30J. Kanga
- 7J. Veteli
- 3M. Rale
- 16T. Miettunen
- 5S. Väisänen
- 4Oliver Pettersson
- 12F. Krkalić
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stjarnan have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ilves have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(away) | 0-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vikingur Gota(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Vikingur Gota(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(away) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jun 28, 2026 | KA Akureyri(home) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 8, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | FF Jaro(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 1-2 | Suomen Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Stjarnan score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves score 2.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Ilves | 2.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Stjarnan vs Ilves?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy