Vardar Skopje vs Riga: result 2-3 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje
Full time
What was the result of Vardar Skopje vs Riga?
Riga won 2-3 on July 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 28′D. CastañedaVardar Skopje
- 35′O. GaloRiga
- 39′Iago Siqueira AugustoRiga
- 66′G. RodriguesVardar Skopje
- 81′Iago Siqueira AugustoRiga
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Riga win at 40%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Vardar Skopje vs Riga
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Vardar Skopje
4-3-3- 7G. Rodrigues
- 9A. Omeragikj
- 71Miguel Ângelo Ferreira Pires
- 32D. Castañeda
- 6D. Babunski
- 8B. Nikolov
- 3M. Manevski
- 4M. Matić
- 5F. Najdovski
- 21G. Jankulov
- 95D. Taleski
Riga
3-5-2- 7R. Aouani
- 19M. Badamosi
- 17A. Salazar
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 40A. Ankrah
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 4O. Galo
- 34A. Černomordijs
- 21B. Musah
- 13R. Jurkovskis
- 91F. Orols
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vardar Skopje have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Riga have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 23, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Struga(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tukums(home) | 3-1 | Virsliga |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Auda(away) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vardar Skopje score 2.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Riga score 2.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vardar Skopje | 2.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Riga | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Riga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Vardar Skopje vs Riga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy