Stockport County U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Stockport County U21 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Stockport County U21 starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Stockport County U21 have 5 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Burnley U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 2-7 | Premier League Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Queens Park Rangers U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Burnley U21(away) | 2-3 | Premier League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-4 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 0-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 13; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County U21 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 11/13 | 12/13 |
| Stoke City U21 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County U21 sit 4th in Premier League Cup (6 points from 6 matches) and Stoke City U21 sit 2nd (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 4 | Stockport County U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County U21 vs Stoke City U21?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County U21 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Stoke City U21.
- Where and when is Stockport County U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?
- Stockport County U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21