Storfors vs Fransta: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandNorrland - Relegation RoundKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fransta the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Storfors. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Storfors vs Fransta?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Storfors (1,306) and Fransta (1,389).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Storfors have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Fransta have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Friska Viljor(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Umeå(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Umea FF(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | IFK Umeå(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Täfteå(home) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Friska Viljor(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Umeå(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Kubikenborg(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Friska Viljor(home) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
How many goals should we expect?
Storfors score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fransta score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storfors | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fransta | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Storfors sit 6th in Division 2 - Norrland (8 points from 12 matches) and Fransta sit 7th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 8 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Storfors vs Fransta?
- The Footlab model makes Fransta the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Storfors.
- Where and when is Storfors vs Fransta played?
- Storfors vs Fransta is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.