Stranraer vs Edinburgh City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Edinburgh City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stranraer vs Edinburgh City?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Stranraer (1,545) and Edinburgh City (1,532).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Edinburgh City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stranraer win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Edinburgh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Stranraer 0-2 Edinburgh City | League Cup |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Edinburgh City 4-1 Stranraer | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Stranraer 1-1 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Stranraer | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stranraer 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Edinburgh City 0-0 Stranraer | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Edinburgh City on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Edinburgh City score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Edinburgh City | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stranraer sit 7th in League Two (4 points from 4 matches) and Edinburgh City sit 10th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Edinburgh City?
- The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Edinburgh City.
- Where and when is Stranraer vs Edinburgh City played?
- Stranraer vs Edinburgh City is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.