Dumbarton vs Stranraer: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Stranraer starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dumbarton vs Stranraer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Stranraer have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dumbarton win, 3 draws, 2 Stranraer wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stranraer 3-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-0 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Stranraer 0-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Dumbarton on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Stranraer | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbarton sit 6th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Stranraer sit 1st (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Stranraer played?
- Dumbarton vs Stranraer is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.