Match

Stranraer vs Elgin City: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer

StranraerElgin City

The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stranraer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elgin City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stranraer vs Elgin City?

On Elo ratings, Stranraer has 1,564 points and Elgin City 1,544.

25%23%52%
Stranraer winDrawElgin City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stranraer vs Elgin City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stranraer

4-1-3-2
  1. 16Lewis Dobbie
  2. 11A. Healy
  1. 8A. Quigg
  2. 12A. Traynor
  3. 24S. Mason
  4. 14Z. Bruce
  1. 4M. McLuckie
  2. 2E. Dunne
  3. 5Kenzi Nair
  4. 3F. Ecrepont
  1. 1M. Currie

Elgin City

3-4-1-2
  1. 9K. Hester
  2. 11O. Colloty
  1. 7R. Dingwall
  2. 22J. Maciver
  3. 10M. Gallagher
  4. 77L. Scullion
  5. 23M. Grant
  1. 2M. Neill
  2. 5K. Girvan
  3. 6J. Murray
  1. 1T. Ritchie

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Elgin City have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stranraer
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Kilmarnock II(home)3-3Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Annan Athletic(away)6-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Edinburgh City(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026East Kilbride(home)4-3Challenge Cup
Sep 22, 2026Berwick Rangers(away)2-3Challenge Cup
Elgin City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)2-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Clyde(home)6-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Peterhead(away)1-0Challenge Cup
Sep 22, 2026Dundee II(home)3-0Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stranraer wins, 1 draw, 2 Elgin City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Elgin City 1-5 StranraerLeague Two
May 2, 2026Elgin City 0-1 StranraerLeague Two
Feb 28, 2026Stranraer 1-2 Elgin CityLeague Two
Dec 13, 2025Elgin City 1-2 StranraerLeague Two
Sep 20, 2025Stranraer 1-1 Elgin CityLeague Two
Apr 26, 2025Elgin City 3-0 StranraerLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Stranraer on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stranraer score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stranraer2.51.459/1511/15
Elgin City2.41.358/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stranraer sit 1st in League Two (20 points from 10 matches) and Elgin City sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Stranraer1062223920
3Elgin City10523271717

A question about Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Elgin City?
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stranraer.
Where and when is Stranraer vs Elgin City played?
Stranraer vs Elgin City is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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