Elgin City vs Annan Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Annan Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Elgin City (1,564) and Annan Athletic (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Annan Athletic have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elgin City win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Annan Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Elgin City 0-3 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic 2-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Elgin City 2-0 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Annan Athletic 3-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| May 10, 2025 | Annan Athletic 1-2 Elgin City | League One |
| May 6, 2025 | Elgin City 2-4 Annan Athletic | League One |
Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Annan Athletic on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Annan Athletic | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 2nd in League Two (8 points from 4 matches) and Annan Athletic sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Annan Athletic.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Annan Athletic played?
- Elgin City vs Annan Athletic is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.