Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
The Footlab model makes Rapid Wien II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Sturm Graz II (1,650) and Rapid Wien II (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Rapid Wien II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | WSPG Wels(away) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gloggnitz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sturm Graz II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rapid Wien II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Rapid Wien II 1-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-0 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rapid Wien II 4-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Rapid Wien II 2-2 Sturm Graz II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Rapid Wien II 0-4 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Wien II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Rapid Wien II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz II sit 14th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Rapid Wien II sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rapid Wien II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Wien II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II played?
- Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.