Sturt Lions vs West Adelaide: result 1-0 and analysis
South Australia NPLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 4, 2023 at 04:30 AM (UTC)Karinya Reserve, Mitcham
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What was the result of Sturt Lions vs West Adelaide?
Sturt Lions won 1-0 on March 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′?Sturt Lions (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturt Lions have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; West Adelaide have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Croydon Kings(away) | 2-5 | South Australia NPL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Campbelltown City(home) | 1-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 13, 2022 | FK Beograd(home) | 1-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 6, 2022 | MetroStars(home) | 0-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Adelaide City(home) | 1-4 | South Australia NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Adelaide Olympic(home) | 2-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Adelaide City(away) | 0-4 | South Australia NPL |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Para Hills Knights(home) | 4-3 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Modbury Jets(away) | 1-1 | South Australia State League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Modbury Jets(home) | 3-0 | South Australia State League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sturt Lions score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; West Adelaide score 2.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturt Lions | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| West Adelaide | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturt Lions sit 9th in South Australia NPL (27 points from 22 matches) and West Adelaide sit 10th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 44 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy