SUD America vs Penarol: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 9, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of SUD America vs Penarol?
SUD America won 2-1 on November 9, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 76′Damián Macaluso RojasPenarol
- 78′Á. LunaSUD America
- 87′R. MieresSUD America
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SUD America have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Cerro(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2013 | Miramar(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Danubio(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
SUD America score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUD America | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy