Sukhothai FC vs Chiangrai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Thung Talay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sukhothai FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sukhothai FC vs Chiangrai United?
Chiangrai United starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sukhothai FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Chiangrai United have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sukhothai FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Chiangrai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United 1-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Sukhothai FC 1-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Sukhothai FC 3-3 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Chiangrai United 0-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 2-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Chiangrai United 2-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangrai United vs Sukhothai FC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sukhothai FC sit 13th in Thai League 1 (28 points from 30 matches) and Chiangrai United sit 7th (40 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sukhothai FC vs Chiangrai United?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sukhothai FC.
- Where and when is Sukhothai FC vs Chiangrai United played?
- Sukhothai FC vs Chiangrai United is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Thung Talay Luang Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.