Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Uthai Thani Province Stadium, Uthai Thani
The Footlab AI model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for BG Pathum United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Uthai Thani wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United?
On Elo ratings, Uthai Thani has 1,579 points and BG Pathum United 1,700.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Uthai Thani
4-2-3-1- 9I. Enomoto
- 10B. Davis
- 25R. Maikami
- 77Robertinho
- 7T. Buhagiar
- 22Kelvin
- 3C. Charalampous
- 13Jeong Tae-Wook
- 19W. Playnum
- 5S. Peenagatapho
- 97Caíque
BG Pathum United
4-4-2- 19A. Coffey
- 21P. Verkamp
- 6S. Yooyen
- 5K. Kaman
- 11P. Gustavsson
- 8A. Pumwisat
- 50E. Osmanović
- 48W. Choolthong
- 17E. Dolah
- 2C. Tamma
- 28S. Anuin
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 04:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uthai Thani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; BG Pathum United have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 4-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Uthai Thani wins, 1 draw, 5 BG Pathum United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United 4-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Uthai Thani 0-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Uthai Thani 0-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uthai Thani score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; BG Pathum United score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| BG Pathum United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uthai Thani sit 5th in Thai League 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and BG Pathum United sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | BG Pathum United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for BG Pathum United.
- Where and when is Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United played?
- Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United is played on December 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Uthai Thani Province Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.