Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC: prediction and stats
Australian ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Seymour Shaw Park, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Canberra FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sutherland Sharks. The most likely score is 1-1. If Canberra FC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
Canberra FC starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutherland Sharks
Not enough data to predict the Sutherland Sharks lineup.
Canberra FC
Not enough data to predict the Canberra FC lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutherland Sharks have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Canberra FC have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sydney United(home) | 1-2 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Canberra FC(away) | 2-0 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | South Melbourne(home) | 0-1 | Australian Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Manly United(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | SD Raiders(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | South Melbourne(home) | 0-2 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(home) | 0-2 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australian Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(home) | 0-3 | Capital Territory NPL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Queanbeyan City(home) | 1-0 | Capital Territory NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sutherland Sharks win, 0 draws, 0 Canberra FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Canberra FC 0-2 Sutherland Sharks | Australian Championship |
Last archived meeting: Canberra FC vs Sutherland Sharks on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutherland Sharks score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Canberra FC score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutherland Sharks | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Canberra FC | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutherland Sharks sit 3rd in Australian Championship (3 points from 3 matches) and Canberra FC sit 4th (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Canberra FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sutherland Sharks.
- Where and when is Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC played?
- Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Seymour Shaw Park, in the Australian Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.