Wests APIA vs Adelaide City: prediction and stats
Australian ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Lambert Park, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Wests APIA the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Adelaide City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wests APIA wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wests APIA vs Adelaide City?
On Elo ratings, Wests APIA has 1,759 points and Adelaide City 1,969.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wests APIA vs Adelaide City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wests APIA
Not enough data to predict the Wests APIA lineup.
Adelaide City
Not enough data to predict the Adelaide City lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Wests APIA have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Adelaide City have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Broadmeadow Magic(away) | 0-0 | Australian Championship |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Marconi Stallions(home) | 1-1 | Australian Championship |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Bayswater City(home) | 4-1 | Australian Championship |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Sydney United(away) | 2-1 | Australian Championship |
| Nov 2, 2025 | MetroStars(home) | 1-1 | Australian Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Avondale(home) | 2-2 | Australian Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Torrens Birkalla(home) | 2-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(home) | 6-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(away) | 2-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Beograd(away) | 3-0 | South Australia NPL |
How many goals should we expect?
Wests APIA score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 8; Adelaide City score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wests APIA | 1.6 | 0.6 | 3 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
| Adelaide City | 2.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wests APIA sit 4th in Australian Championship (1 point from 1 match) and Adelaide City sit 3rd (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Adelaide City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Wests APIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Wests APIA vs Adelaide City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wests APIA vs Adelaide City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wests APIA the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Adelaide City.
- Where and when is Wests APIA vs Adelaide City played?
- Wests APIA vs Adelaide City is played on November 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Lambert Park, in the Australian Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.