Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21 played?

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey

Sutton Utd

Birmingham City U21

The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Birmingham City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

Sutton Utd starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,629).

Sutton Utd win58 %

Draw21 %

Birmingham City U21 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham City U21 have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sutton Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hartlepool(home)	2-1	National League
Aug 18, 2026	Leicester City U21(home)	0-0	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Altrincham(home)	1-0	National League
Aug 8, 2026	Woking(away)	3-0	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Birmingham City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Boston United(away)	3-2	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Swansea City U21(away)	0-3	Premier League Cup
Apr 10, 2026	Ipswich Town U21(home)	0-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026	Everton U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 20, 2026	Manchester City U21(home)	1-5	Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham City U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sutton Utd	1.3	1.2	5	7/15	9/15
Birmingham City U21	1.1	2.7	0	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?: The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Birmingham City U21.
Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21 played?: Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.