SVZW vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), Wierden
The Footlab model makes SVZW the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SVZW vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
DVS 33 Ermelo starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, SVZW have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 8, 2023 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Jodan Boys(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Avanti '31(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
SVZW score 1.4 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 5; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVZW | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SVZW sit 13th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SVZW | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SVZW vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab model makes SVZW the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is SVZW vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- SVZW vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.