Staphorst vs Hercules: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Staphorst wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs Hercules?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Staphorst (1,672) and Hercules (1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs Hercules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hercules have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Staphorst win, 1 draw, 2 Hercules wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Hercules 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Staphorst 2-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Hercules 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Staphorst 1-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hercules vs Staphorst on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 14th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Hercules sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Staphorst vs Hercules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs Hercules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Staphorst the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs Hercules played?
- Staphorst vs Hercules is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.