SW Essen vs Büderich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 29Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes Büderich the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Büderich?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,733) and Büderich (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Büderich have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monheim(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SW Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Büderich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Büderich 0-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 14, 2025 | SW Essen 1-4 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Büderich 5-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 18, 2024 | SW Essen 3-0 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 22, 2024 | SW Essen 1-0 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Büderich 1-4 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Büderich score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Büderich | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Büderich sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Büderich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Büderich?
- The Footlab model makes Büderich the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Büderich played?
- SW Essen vs Büderich is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 30, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsHolzheimer SG
- Apr 30, 2027SSVg VelbertvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- May 2, 2027KFC Uerdingen 05vsGermania Ratingen
- May 2, 2027SF BaumbergvsSC St. Tönis
- May 2, 2027MeerbuschvsWuppertaler SV
- May 2, 2027SonsbeckvsSchonnebeck
- May 2, 2027ScherpenbergvsBW Dingden
- May 2, 2027Solingen-WaldvsMonheim