SF Baumberg vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 29Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BSA Grazer Strasse, Monheim
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for SF Baumberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SF Baumberg vs SC St. Tönis?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate SF Baumberg (1,750) and SC St. Tönis (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Baumberg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sonsbeck(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Biemenhorst(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SF Baumberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SC St. Tönis 0-0 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 16, 2025 | SF Baumberg 1-3 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SF Baumberg 0-6 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 11, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 2-1 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF Baumberg 1-0 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 17, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 2-5 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Baumberg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SF Baumberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SF Baumberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SF Baumberg vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for SF Baumberg.
- Where and when is SF Baumberg vs SC St. Tönis played?
- SF Baumberg vs SC St. Tönis is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 30, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsHolzheimer SG
- Apr 30, 2027SSVg VelbertvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- May 2, 2027KFC Uerdingen 05vsGermania Ratingen
- May 2, 2027SW EssenvsBüderich
- May 2, 2027MeerbuschvsWuppertaler SV
- May 2, 2027SonsbeckvsSchonnebeck
- May 2, 2027ScherpenbergvsBW Dingden
- May 2, 2027Solingen-WaldvsMonheim