SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen?
Germania Ratingen starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Germania Ratingen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schonnebeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Union Frintrop(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SW Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Germania Ratingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | SW Essen 0-1 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Germania Ratingen 2-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Germania Ratingen 1-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 3, 2024 | SW Essen 4-2 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 28, 2024 | SW Essen 2-0 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Germania Ratingen 1-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Germania Ratingen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Germania Ratingen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Germania Ratingen sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Germania Ratingen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen played?
- SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsSolingen-Wald
- Oct 9, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsBüderich
- Oct 9, 2026SSVg VelbertvsSC St. Tönis
- Oct 9, 2026Holzheimer SGvsBW Dingden
- Oct 11, 2026SF BaumbergvsSchonnebeck
- Oct 11, 2026MeerbuschvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Oct 11, 2026SonsbeckvsMonheim
- Oct 11, 2026ScherpenbergvsWuppertaler SV