Swansea vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 8, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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What was the result of Swansea vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on February 8, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 8′M. WaghornDerby
- 56′Y. DhandaSwansea
- 58′K. NaughtonSwansea
- 64′D. HolmesDerby
- 80′T. LawrenceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Stoke City(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Cardiff(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2020 | QPR(away) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | Northampton(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 31, 2020 | Stoke City(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Luton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Swansea win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2019 | Derby 0-0 Swansea | Championship |
| May 1, 2019 | Swansea 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Derby 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 9th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy