Swansea vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Swansea vs Derby?
Swansea won 2-1 on May 1, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 48′T. LawrenceDerby
- 63′M. WhittakerSwansea
- 66′C. RobertsSwansea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | Reading(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2021 | QPR(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Wycombe(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Millwall(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | Birmingham(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Preston(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Norwich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Reading(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Swansea win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2020 | Derby 2-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Swansea 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Derby 0-0 Swansea | Championship |
| May 1, 2019 | Swansea 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Derby 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 9th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy