Sweden vs Bulgaria: result 3-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 3Kick-off on October 10, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Friends Arena, Solna
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What was the result of Sweden vs Bulgaria?
Sweden won 3-0 on October 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 39′O. ToivonenSweden
- 45′Oscar HiljemarkSweden
- 58′V. LindelöfSweden
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bulgaria have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2016 | Luxembourg(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 22, 2016 | Belgium(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Italy(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2016 | France(away) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Luxembourg(home) | 4-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 11; Bulgaria score 2.5 and concede 3.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
| Bulgaria | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sweden sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (2 points from 6 matches) and Bulgaria sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy