Sweden vs Estonia: result 2-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on January 12, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
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What was the result of Sweden vs Estonia?
Sweden won 2-1 on January 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′K. PalumetsEstonia
- 30′S. NanasiSweden
- 53′I. Kiese ThelinSweden
Official lineup for Sweden vs Estonia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sweden
4-3-3- 11S. Nanasi
- 9I. Kiese Thelin
- 7T. Ali
- 10N. Besara
- 6A. Gigović
- 8A. Salétros
- 5S. Dahl
- 4A. Eriksson
- 3H. Castegren
- 2J. Karlsson
- 1O. Dovin
Estonia
5-3-2- 10S. Zenjov
- 25R. Sillamaa
- 17M. Miller
- 23K. Palumets
- 14K. Vassiljev
- 13N. Mihhailov
- 18A. Vaher
- 21N. Baranov
- 4M. Lukka
- 3K. Hussar
- 22K. Vallner
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Estonia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Estonia(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Belgium(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Moldova(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Sweden(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Austria(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Thailand(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Azerbaijan(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Belgium(away) | 0-5 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Sweden wins, 0 draws, 0 Estonia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Sweden 2-0 Estonia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Estonia 0-5 Sweden | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Sweden 1-0 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estonia | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sweden vs Estonia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy