Sweden vs Estonia: result 2-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on January 12, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
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What was the result of Sweden vs Estonia?
Sweden won 2-1 on January 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′K. PalumetsEstonia
- 30′S. NanasiSweden
- 53′I. Kiese ThelinSweden
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Estonia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Estonia(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Belgium(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Moldova(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Sweden(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Austria(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Thailand(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Azerbaijan(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Belgium(away) | 0-5 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Sweden win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Sweden 2-0 Estonia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Estonia 0-5 Sweden | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Sweden 1-0 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estonia | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy