China vs Hong Kong: result 1-2 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on January 1, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Beijing National Stadium, Beijing
Full time
What was the result of China vs Hong Kong?
Hong Kong won 1-2 on January 1, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hong Kong have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | Oman(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | South Korea(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Thailand(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Uzbekistan(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Vietnam(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2023 | Turkmenistan(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Iran(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Bhutan(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Bhutan(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Brunei(home) | 10-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 China win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hong Kong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2022 | China 1-0 Hong Kong | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Hong Kong 0-2 China | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Hong Kong 0-0 China | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 3, 2015 | China 0-0 Hong Kong | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
China score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hong Kong score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Hong Kong | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy