Sweden vs Estonia: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 31, 2021 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Friends Arena, Solna
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What was the result of Sweden vs Estonia?
Sweden won 1-0 on March 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 3′M. BergSweden
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Estonia have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | Kosovo(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Georgia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2020 | France(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Belarus(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 2-6 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Georgia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Italy(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.7 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Estonia | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy