Sweden vs Estonia: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 31, 2021 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Friends Arena, Solna
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What was the result of Sweden vs Estonia?
Sweden won 1-0 on March 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 3′M. BergSweden
Official lineup for Sweden vs Estonia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sweden
- 9M. Berg
- 22R. Quaison
- 5P. Bengtsson
- 8J. Cajuste
- 13J. Karlsson
- 19M. Svanberg
- 3J. Nilsson
- 4C. Starfelt
- 16E. Krafth
- 18K. Sema
- 12K. Johnsson
Estonia
- 8H. Anier
- 9R. Kirss
- 20M. Poom
- 7S. Puri
- 14K. Vassiljev
- 23B. Vaštšuk
- 2M. Kuusk
- 3M. Paskotši
- 13M. Lilander
- 16H. Pürg
- 1M. Igonen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Estonia have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | Kosovo(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Georgia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2020 | France(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Belarus(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 2-6 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Georgia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Italy(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.7 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Estonia | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sweden vs Estonia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy