Sweden W vs Italy W: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations League - WomenLeague A - 3Kick-off on April 4, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
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What was the result of Sweden W vs Italy W?
Sweden W won 3-2 on April 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′E. SeveriniItaly W
- 56′K. AsllaniSweden W
- 75′F. AngeldahlSweden W
- 85′M. CambiaghiItaly W
- 90′F. RolföSweden W (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden W have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Italy W have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Wales W(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Denmark W(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Serbia W(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Serbia W(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Luxembourg W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Denmark W(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Wales W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Germany W(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Spain W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Malta W(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sweden W win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Italy W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | Sweden W 1-1 Italy W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Italy W 0-1 Sweden W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sweden W 5-0 Italy W | World Cup - Women |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Sweden W 1-1 Italy W | Algarve Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden W score 2.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Italy W score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden W | 2.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy W | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sweden W sit 1st in UEFA Nations League - Women (12 points from 6 matches) and Italy W sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy