Sweden W vs Italy W: result 1-1 and analysis
Algarve CupFinalKick-off on February 23, 2022 at 11:05 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Fernando Cabrita, Lagos
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What was the result of Sweden W vs Italy W?
Sweden W and Italy W drew 1-1 on February 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 18′V. GiacintiItaly W
- 71′C. SegerSweden W (pen.)
- 120′C. SegerSweden W (pen.)
- 120′M. GiuglianoItaly W (pen.)
- 120′K. AsllaniSweden W (pen.)
- 120′S. GamaItaly W (pen.)
- 120′S. BlacksteniusSweden W (pen.)
- 120′E. BerglundSweden W (pen.)
- 120′C. GirelliItaly W (pen.)
- 120′V. CernoiaItaly W (pen.)
- 120′F. AngeldahlSweden W (pen.)
- 120′A. CarusoItaly W (pen.)
- 120′H. LindahlSweden W (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden W have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Italy W have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | Portugal W(away) | 4-0 | Algarve Cup |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Scotland W(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Aug 6, 2021 | Canada W(home) | 1-1 | Olympics Women |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Australia W(away) | 1-0 | Olympics Women |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Japan W(home) | 3-1 | Olympics Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | Norway W(home) | 2-1 | Algarve Cup |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Denmark W(away) | 1-0 | Algarve Cup |
| Jun 14, 2021 | Austria W(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Netherlands W(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 13, 2021 | Iceland W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden W score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Italy W score 2.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden W | 2.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy W | 2.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy