Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Świt Skolwin (1,736) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Świt Skolwin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Świt Skolwin 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 5-2 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Świt Skolwin vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsZnicz Pruszków
- Nov 21, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsGórnik Łęczna
- Nov 21, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsResovia Rzeszów
- Nov 21, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Nov 21, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 21, 2026Sokół KleczewvsTychy 71
- Nov 21, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsLegia Warszawa II