Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Szekszárdi Városi Stadion, Szekszárd
The Footlab model makes Dunaharaszti MTK the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Szekszárd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
Dunaharaszti MTK starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,424 vs 1,275).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Szekszárd have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Dunaharaszti MTK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 0-8 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ikarus BSE(away) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Majosi(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Szekszárd win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Dunaharaszti MTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Szekszárd 1-1 Dunaharaszti MTK | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Dunaharaszti MTK 1-1 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Dunaharaszti MTK 0-0 Szekszárd | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Szekszárd 2-1 Dunaharaszti MTK | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 23, 2015 | Szekszárd 0-3 Dunaharaszti MTK | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Szekszárd score 1.0 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dunaharaszti MTK score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szekszárd | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Dunaharaszti MTK | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Szekszárd sit 16th in NB III - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Dunaharaszti MTK sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Szekszárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
- The Footlab model makes Dunaharaszti MTK the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Szekszárd.
- Where and when is Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK played?
- Szekszárd vs Dunaharaszti MTK is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Szekszárdi Városi Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.