Dunaujvaros FC vs Dunaharaszti MTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dunaujvaros FC the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dunaharaszti MTK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunaujvaros FC vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Dunaujvaros FC (1,472) and Dunaharaszti MTK (1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunaujvaros FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dunaharaszti MTK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 10, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 3, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ikarus BSE(away) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Majosi(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunaujvaros FC score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunaharaszti MTK score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunaujvaros FC | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dunaharaszti MTK | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunaujvaros FC sit 14th in NB III - Southwest (0 points from 1 matches) and Dunaharaszti MTK sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunaujvaros FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunaujvaros FC vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
- The Footlab model makes Dunaujvaros FC the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dunaharaszti MTK.
- Where and when is Dunaujvaros FC vs Dunaharaszti MTK played?
- Dunaujvaros FC vs Dunaharaszti MTK is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.