Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Újpest II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE?
III. Kerületi TUE starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Újpest II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; III. Kerületi TUE have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vasas II(away) | 5-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Újpest II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 III. Kerületi TUE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Újpest II 0-2 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 28, 2024 | III. Kerületi TUE 4-5 Újpest II | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE on Nov 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Újpest II score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; III. Kerületi TUE score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Újpest II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| III. Kerületi TUE | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Újpest II sit 5th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Újpest II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE?
- The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Újpest II.
- Where and when is Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE played?
- Újpest II vs III. Kerületi TUE is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.