Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons: result 1-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 7Kick-off on September 22, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Gentles Construction Stadium, Taffs Well / Ffynnnon Taf, Rhondda Cynon Taf
Full time
What was the result of Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons?
Baglan Dragons won 1-4 on September 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′?Baglan Dragons
- 28′?Baglan Dragons
- 35′?Baglan Dragons
- 42′?Baglan Dragons
- 58′?Taffs Well
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taffs Well have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 4, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2023 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Taffs Well score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 2.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taffs Well | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/9 | 7/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy