Tajikistan vs Lebanon: result 2-1 and analysis
Asian CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 22, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
Full time
What was the result of Tajikistan vs Lebanon?
Tajikistan won 2-1 on January 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 47′Bassel JradiLebanon
- 80′P. UmarbayevTajikistan
- 90′N. KhamrokulovTajikistan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tajikistan have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Lebanon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024 | Qatar(home) | 0-1 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 13, 2024 | China(away) | 0-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Hong Kong(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Pakistan(away) | 6-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Jordan(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024 | China(home) | 0-0 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Qatar(away) | 0-3 | Asian Cup |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Bangladesh(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
Tajikistan score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lebanon score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Lebanon | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tajikistan sit 1st in Asian Cup (14 points from 6 matches) and Lebanon sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy